Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.547266 0.633664 0.728469 0.840112 0.967880 1.109428 1.278026
2025-05-25 0.394656 0.509436 0.648618 0.829306 1.057147 1.334341 1.696583
2025-06-01 0.312262 0.436228 0.597807 0.822766 1.126661 1.521592 2.072241
2025-06-08 0.250510 0.373788 0.544391 0.796012 1.155652 1.648781 2.373341
2025-06-15 0.227131 0.358329 0.549297 0.844909 1.287775 1.922637 2.896681
2025-06-22 0.189981 0.315841 0.507916 0.818954 1.305717 2.032759 3.193495
2025-06-29 0.160821 0.280664 0.471725 0.794225 1.319499 2.133982 3.482152
2025-07-06 0.138221 0.252434 0.442094 0.774807 1.337121 2.239630 3.783889
2025-07-13 0.125791 0.239458 0.435345 0.791205 1.413058 2.442586 4.257399
2025-07-20 0.118916 0.235195 0.442541 0.831483 1.532195 2.725529 4.886712
2025-07-27 0.110680 0.227170 0.441855 0.857192 1.627696 2.975861 5.481266
2025-08-03 0.101354 0.215699 0.433317 0.867152 1.695136 3.182219 6.015348
2025-08-10 0.091091 0.201235 0.417902 0.863343 1.738496 3.352704 6.506741
2025-08-17 0.081155 0.186090 0.399416 0.851582 1.765798 3.496900 6.964470
2025-08-24 0.073005 0.173528 0.384459 0.844839 1.801548 3.659031 7.468788
2025-08-31 0.064017 0.157778 0.360884 0.817401 1.792456 3.733381 7.809012
2025-09-07 0.062541 0.158933 0.373412 0.867543 1.947467 4.142438 8.842825
2025-09-14 0.055233 0.145286 0.351798 0.840928 1.937750 4.219533 9.213702
2025-09-21 0.048902 0.133063 0.331846 0.815569 1.927745 4.294327 9.584865
2025-09-28 0.043670 0.122807 0.315161 0.795655 1.927429 4.388690 10.003972
2025-10-05 0.041190 0.119319 0.314176 0.812472 2.011791 4.671024 10.848782
2025-10-12 0.040250 0.119813 0.322979 0.853776 2.156708 5.097102 12.041235
2025-10-19 0.038538 0.117941 0.325621 0.880138 2.268690 5.458671 13.118201